7 Jul · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1564
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Svoboda
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1525
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Veigl goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.