7 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleksii Korobov
ELO 1572
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Korobov
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1514
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Bielokon covers set handicap as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Korobov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)