7 Jul · 19:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Korobov
OK
🇺🇦Oleksii Korobov
ELO 1572
FormLWWWW
36%
64%
🌟Sydorenko goes over total as underdog 70% (23)
Fair odds · Korobov
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~72 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)