7 Jul · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1509
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Veigl
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1525
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rejent🌟Rejent covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Veigl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H40-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.