7 Jul · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1514
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Alieksieev
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1580
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)