7 Jul · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1580
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Alieksieev
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)