8 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1497
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Styranets
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Styranets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.