8 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇺🇦Anatolii Dulich
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dulich
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1484
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Dulich
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.