8 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hovorunets
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1452
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Hovorunets stays under total as favourite 74% (19)
Fair odds · Hovorunets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H19-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.