8 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1497
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dulich
AD
🇺🇦Anatolii Dulich
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Dulich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.