8 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1484
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Styranets
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Styranets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.