8 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1495
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.