8 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maliuk
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1496
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Maliuk goes over total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H21-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.