8 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1452
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stukalov
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1439
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Stukalov goes over total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H19-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.