8 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1434
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Leonenko
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1423
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Klymenko🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (22)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H49-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.