8 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1612
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Alieksieev
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1553
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Moshovskyi goes over total as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)