8 Jul · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1504
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moshovskyi
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1553
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Moshovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Moshovskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H12-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)