8 Jul · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1504
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1648
FormWWWLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+144
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)