8 Jul · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1612
FormLWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Alieksieev
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1504
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)