8 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andriy Didyk
ELO 1439
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dulich
AD
🇺🇦Anatolii Dulich
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Dulich
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)