8 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1479
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kuzmenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1405
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H56-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-32)