8 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1468
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1479
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H20-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.