8 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1612
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1648
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.