8 Jul · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1604
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Maltsev
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1553
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🌟Moshovskyi goes over total as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H7-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)