8 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hovorunets
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1423
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Hovorunets stays under total as favourite 74% (19)
Fair odds · Hovorunets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H37-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-19)