8 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maliuk
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1468
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Maliuk goes over total as favourite 62% (16)
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.