8 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1439
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1495
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)