8 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1423
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Novakov
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1439
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Klymenko🌟Novakov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (16)
Fair odds · Novakov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.