8 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1468
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Prylepa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1405
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H47-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-20)