8 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1416
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1433
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H58-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.