8 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1452
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1528
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (45)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)