8 Jul · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MZ
🇺🇦Mykola Zavoloka
ELO 1472
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Zavoloka
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1310
FormLLWLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Zavoloka
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)