8 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1485
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lipeiko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1433
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)