8 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1530
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skhabitskiy
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1528
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H10-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.