8 Jul · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1452
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kondratenko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1433
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Kondratenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (29)
Fair odds · Kondratenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.