8 Jul · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1530
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skhabitskiy
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1452
FormLWWWL
58%
42%
🌟Kondratenko stays under total as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H29-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-28)