8 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1433
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1447
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H8-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.