8 Jul · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1485
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1528
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (46)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.