8 Jul · 18:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1487
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mrykh
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Mrykh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.