8 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1443
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Elfemov
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1509
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorenko🌟Elfemov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Elfemov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)