8 Jul · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YL
🇺🇦Yurii Leymanovsky
ELO 1588
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Leymanovsky
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1536
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Leymanovsky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)