8 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1456
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stopin
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1462
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.