8 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1627
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Radkovsky
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1561
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Provaznik🌟Provaznik covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)