8 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1454
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pisa
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1515
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman🌟Ullman goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H12-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)