8 Jul · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1581
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mezera
SR
🇺🇦Stepan Rejent
ELO 1522
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Rejent covers set handicap as underdog 79% (24)
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)