8 Jul · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1524
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sushko
IS
🇺🇦Ivan Sushko
ELO 1559
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Pohorilyi rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Sushko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.