8 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇺🇦Ihor Dubinin
ELO 1499
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sushko
IS
🇺🇦Ivan Sushko
ELO 1559
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sushko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)