8 Jul · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1612
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Romanenko
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1588
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Sukovatyi covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Romanenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H20-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.