8 Jul · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1516
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maksuta
VM
🇺🇦Volodymir Maksuta
ELO 1604
FormLWLWL
41%
59%
🌟Varlamov covers set handicap as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Maksuta
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)