8 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1454
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fencl
PF
🇺🇦Pavel Fencl
ELO 1509
FormWLLWL
44%
56%
🌟Ullman goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Fencl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)